Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Nov 9 · 13:30 · NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen
Likeliest: NEC Nijmegen win · 48%
A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
NEC Nijmegen48%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
FC Groningen26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
NEC Nijmegen
DrawDrawDrawWinLoss
- Nov 2 · at FC Utrecht (A)0-1
- Oct 30 · at Rijnsburgse Boys (A)3-2
- Oct 25 · at PEC Zwolle (A)2-2
- Oct 18 · v FC Twente (H)3-3
- Oct 5 · at Go Ahead Eagles (A)1-1
FC Groningen
WinLossWinLossDraw
- Nov 2 · v FC Twente (H)1-1
- Oct 30 · at Sparta Rotterdam (A)2-5
- Oct 25 · at Fortuna Sittard (A)2-1
- Oct 19 · v Sparta Rotterdam (H)0-2
- Oct 3 · at NAC Breda (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | NEC Nijmegen | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 3-0-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.