Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Feb 1 · 20:00 · NEC Nijmegen vs PSV
Likeliest: PSV win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
NEC Nijmegen37%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
PSV39%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
NEC Nijmegen
WinWin
- Jan 19 · v Fortuna Sittard (H)4-1
- Jan 11 · at PEC Zwolle (A)1-0
PSV
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Jan 29 · v Liverpool (H)3-2
- Jan 25 · v NAC Breda (H)3-2
- Jan 21 · at Crvena Zvezda (A)3-2
- Jan 18 · at PEC Zwolle (A)1-3
- Jan 11 · v AZ (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | NEC Nijmegen | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 100% |
| Both teams scored | — | 100% |
| Clean sheets | — | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.