Pro League (Saudi Arabia) · Fri, Aug 14 · 16:50 · Neom SC vs Al-Fayha
Likeliest: Neom SC win · 47%
A 27% away win. The market says 20%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Neom SC47%55%−8
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
Al-Fayha27%20%+7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 50% | 0 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 51% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 80% | −7 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 45% | +8 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 73% | −10 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Neom SC
No recent results tracked.
Al-Fayha
DrawWinLossLossLoss
- May 21 · v Al Hilal (H)0-1
- May 15 · at Damac FC (A)0-3
- May 9 · v Al-Qadsiah (H)1-2
- May 4 · v Al Riyadh (H)4-2
- Apr 30 · at Al Kholood (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Neom SC | Al-Fayha |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 40% |
| Both teams scored | — | 40% |
| Clean sheets | — | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.