USL League One (USA) · Sat, Oct 24 · 20:00 · New York Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves SC
Likeliest: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC win · 44%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 44% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
New York Cosmos30%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Chattanooga Red Wolves SC44%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 41% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
New York Cosmos
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Oct 17 · v One Knoxville SC (H)0-3
- Oct 10 · at Charlotte Independence (A)0-3
- Oct 3 · at FC Naples (A)1-2
- Sep 26 · v Richmond Kickers (H)3-2
- Sep 19 · v Westchester SC (H)1-2
Chattanooga Red Wolves SC
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 18 · at Spokane Velocity FC (A)0-1
- Oct 7 · at One Knoxville SC (A)0-3
- Oct 3 · v Corpus Christi FC (H)3-0
- Sep 30 · v Spokane Velocity FC (H)0-1
- Sep 26 · at FC Naples (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | New York Cosmos | Chattanooga Red Wolves SC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-6 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.