Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 1 · 15:00 · Newcastle United vs Fulham
Likeliest: Newcastle United win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Newcastle United51%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Fulham23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Newcastle United
WinWinWinLossWin
- Jan 25 · at Southampton (A)3-1
- Jan 18 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)1-4
- Jan 15 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)3-0
- Jan 12 · v Bromley (H)3-1
- Jan 7 · at Arsenal (A)2-0
Fulham
DrawWinLossWinLoss
- Jan 26 · v Manchester United (H)0-1
- Jan 18 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Jan 14 · at West Ham United (A)2-3
- Jan 9 · v Watford (H)4-1
- Jan 5 · v Ipswich Town (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Newcastle United | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-1 | 2-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.