Premier League (England) · Sun, Feb 23 · 14:00 · Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest
Likeliest: Newcastle United win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Newcastle United52%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Nottingham Forest23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Newcastle United
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 15 · at Manchester City (A)0-4
- Feb 8 · at Birmingham City (A)3-2
- Feb 5 · v Arsenal (H)2-0
- Feb 1 · v Fulham (H)1-2
- Jan 25 · at Southampton (A)3-1
Nottingham Forest
DrawWinLossWinLoss
- Feb 15 · at Fulham (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)7-0
- Jan 25 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)0-5
- Jan 19 · v Southampton (H)3-2
- Jan 14 · v Liverpool (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Newcastle United | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-0-3 | 4-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 71% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 43% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Newcastle United form·Nottingham Forest form·Head-to-head record