EFL Cup (England) · Wed, Oct 29 · 20:00 · Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Likeliest: Newcastle United win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Newcastle United52%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Tottenham Hotspur24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Newcastle United
WinWinLossWinWin
- Oct 25 · v Fulham (H)2-1
- Oct 21 · v Benfica (H)3-0
- Oct 18 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-2
- Oct 5 · v Nottingham Forest (H)2-0
- Oct 1 · at Union Saint-Gilloise (A)4-0
Tottenham Hotspur
DrawWinLossDrawWin
- Oct 26 · at Everton (A)3-0
- Oct 22 · at Monaco (A)0-0
- Oct 19 · v Aston Villa (H)1-2
- Oct 4 · at Leeds United (A)2-1
- Sep 30 · at Bodø / Glimt (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Newcastle United | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-4 | 5-4-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.