Ligue 1 (France) · Wed, Oct 29 · 18:00 · Nice vs LOSC Lille
Likeliest: Nice win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nice42%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
LOSC Lille32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nice
LossDrawWinLossWin
- Oct 26 · at Rennes (A)2-1
- Oct 23 · at Celta de Vigo (A)1-2
- Oct 18 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)3-2
- Oct 5 · at Monaco (A)2-2
- Oct 2 · at Fenerbahçe (A)1-2
LOSC Lille
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Oct 26 · v Metz (H)6-1
- Oct 23 · v PAOK (H)3-4
- Oct 19 · at Nantes (A)2-0
- Oct 5 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-1
- Oct 2 · at Roma (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Nice | LOSC Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-1-3 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.