Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 7 · 12:31 · Norwich City vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 48%
We make it 54% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 47%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Norwich City48%47%0
OursMarket
Draw24%27%−4
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers29%25%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 47% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 51% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 75% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 53% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 73% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 65% | −3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Norwich City
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Jan 31 · at Middlesbrough (A)0-1
- Jan 26 · v Coventry City (H)2-1
- Jan 20 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)5-0
- Jan 17 · at Wrexham (A)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Walsall (H)5-1
Blackburn Rovers
LossLossDrawLossWin
- Feb 3 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)1-0
- Jan 31 · v Hull City (H)0-1
- Jan 24 · v Watford (H)1-1
- Jan 20 · at Swansea City (A)1-3
- Jan 17 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | Norwich City | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 1-5-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | 3-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.