Championship (England) · Fri, Dec 26 · 15:00 · Norwich City vs Charlton Athletic
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 39%
A 36% away win. The market says 26%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Norwich City39%47%−9
OursMarket
Draw25%27%−2
OursMarket
Charlton Athletic36%26%+10
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 50% | +3 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 53% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 74% | −10 |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | 53% | +9 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 73% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | 65% | −13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Norwich City
WinLossDrawWinDraw
- Dec 20 · at Preston North End (A)1-1
- Dec 13 · v Southampton (H)2-1
- Dec 9 · at Sheffield United (A)1-1
- Dec 6 · at Watford (A)2-3
- Nov 29 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)3-1
Charlton Athletic
LossLossLossDrawWin
- Dec 20 · v Oxford United (H)1-0
- Dec 13 · at Birmingham City (A)1-1
- Dec 9 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-2
- Nov 29 · at Coventry City (A)1-3
- Nov 25 · at Stoke City (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | Norwich City | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-7 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Norwich City form·Charlton Athletic form·Head-to-head record