Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 8 · 15:00 · Norwich City vs Derby County
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Norwich City39%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Derby County32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Norwich City
LossLossLossWinWin
- Feb 1 · at Watford (A)1-0
- Jan 25 · v Swansea City (H)5-1
- Jan 22 · at Leeds United (A)0-2
- Jan 18 · at Sheffield United (A)0-2
- Jan 11 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)0-4
Derby County
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Feb 1 · v Sheffield United (H)0-1
- Jan 25 · at Cardiff City (A)1-2
- Jan 21 · v Sunderland (H)0-1
- Jan 18 · v Watford (H)0-2
- Jan 4 · at Bristol City (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Norwich City | Derby County |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-3 | 0-0-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.