Championship (England) · Fri, Mar 7 · 20:00 · Norwich City vs Oxford United
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Norwich City40%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Oxford United31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Norwich City
DrawLossDrawWinDraw
- Mar 1 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-1
- Feb 22 · v Stoke City (H)4-2
- Feb 15 · at Hull City (A)1-1
- Feb 11 · v Preston North End (H)0-1
- Feb 8 · v Derby County (H)1-1
Oxford United
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Mar 1 · v Coventry City (H)2-3
- Feb 22 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)0-2
- Feb 15 · v Portsmouth (H)0-2
- Feb 11 · at Derby County (A)0-0
- Feb 4 · at Burnley (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Norwich City | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-2 | 1-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.