Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 14 · 15:00 · Norwich City vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 53%
We make it 57% for both teams to score. The market says 53%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Norwich City53%56%−3
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
Preston North End24%21%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 53% | +3 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 53% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 79% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | 44% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 73% | −4 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Norwich City
LossWinWinLossWin
- Mar 11 · v Sheffield United (H)2-1
- Mar 8 · at Leeds United (A)0-3
- Feb 28 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Feb 25 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)2-0
- Feb 21 · v Birmingham City (H)1-2
Preston North End
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Mar 11 · at Coventry City (A)0-3
- Mar 6 · v Oxford United (H)1-3
- Feb 28 · v Millwall (H)0-2
- Feb 24 · at Swansea City (A)1-1
- Feb 20 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Norwich City | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-0-3 | 1-3-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-0-3 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Norwich City form·Preston North End form·Head-to-head record