Championship (England) · Wed, Feb 25 · 19:45 · Norwich City vs Sheffield Wednesday
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 57%
We make it 57% for both teams to score. The market says 44%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Norwich City57%79%−22
OursMarket
Draw24%14%+9
OursMarket
Sheffield Wednesday20%7%+13
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 63% | −7 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 44% | +13 |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | 93% | −13 |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | 21% | +22 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 86% | −9 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | 92% | −18 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Norwich City
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Feb 21 · v Birmingham City (H)1-2
- Feb 14 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)3-1
- Feb 10 · at Oxford United (A)3-0
- Feb 7 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)2-0
- Jan 31 · at Middlesbrough (A)0-1
Sheffield Wednesday
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Feb 22 · at Sheffield United (A)1-2
- Feb 14 · v Millwall (H)1-2
- Feb 8 · at Swansea City (A)0-4
- Feb 3 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-1
- Jan 31 · v Wrexham (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Norwich City | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-0-3 | 0-0-10 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-0-3 | 0-1-9 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Norwich City form·Sheffield Wednesday form·Head-to-head record