Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 22 · 15:00 · Norwich City vs Stoke City
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Norwich City49%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Stoke City25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Norwich City
WinWinDrawLossDraw
- Feb 15 · at Hull City (A)1-1
- Feb 11 · v Preston North End (H)0-1
- Feb 8 · v Derby County (H)1-1
- Feb 1 · at Watford (A)1-0
- Jan 25 · v Swansea City (H)5-1
Stoke City
LossDrawWinLossWin
- Feb 15 · v Swansea City (H)3-1
- Feb 12 · at Bristol City (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · at Hull City (A)2-1
- Jan 25 · v Oxford United (H)0-0
- Jan 22 · at Portsmouth (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Norwich City | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 2-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 38% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-2 | 1-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.