Championship (England) · Sat, Jan 25 · 12:30 · Norwich City vs Swansea City
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Norwich City47%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Swansea City26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Norwich City
WinWinLossLossLoss
- Jan 22 · at Leeds United (A)0-2
- Jan 18 · at Sheffield United (A)0-2
- Jan 11 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)0-4
- Jan 4 · v Coventry City (H)2-1
- Jan 1 · at Luton Town (A)1-0
Swansea City
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Jan 21 · v Sheffield United (H)1-2
- Jan 18 · at Cardiff City (A)0-3
- Jan 12 · at Southampton (A)0-3
- Jan 4 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)1-1
- Jan 1 · at Portsmouth (A)0-4
| Last 10 games | Norwich City | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-3 | 0-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.