Championship (England) · Sat, Aug 15 · 14:00 · Norwich City vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. The market says 48%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Norwich City51%48%+3
OursMarket
Draw26%27%−1
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion24%25%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 50% | +3 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 52% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 75% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | 66% | +3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Norwich City
WinWinDrawLossWin
- Aug 8 · v Milton Keynes Dons (H)4-1
- May 2 · at Hull City (A)1-2
- Apr 25 · v Swansea City (H)1-1
- Apr 21 · v Derby County (H)2-1
- Apr 18 · at Bristol City (A)4-2
West Bromwich Albion
WinWinDrawLossWin
- Aug 8 · at Rotherham United (A)4-1
- May 2 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)1-2
- Apr 25 · v Ipswich Town (H)0-0
- Apr 21 · v Watford (H)3-0
- Apr 18 · at Preston North End (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | Norwich City | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 70% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Norwich City form·West Bromwich Albion form·Head-to-head record