Premier League (England) · Wed, Feb 26 · 19:30 · Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal
Likeliest: Arsenal win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nottingham Forest28%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Arsenal46%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 38% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nottingham Forest
WinLossWinLossLoss
- Feb 23 · at Newcastle United (A)3-4
- Feb 15 · at Fulham (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)7-0
- Jan 25 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)0-5
- Jan 19 · v Southampton (H)3-2
Arsenal
WinWinLossWinLoss
- Feb 22 · v West Ham United (H)0-1
- Feb 15 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Feb 5 · at Newcastle United (A)0-2
- Feb 2 · v Manchester City (H)5-1
- Jan 29 · at Girona (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Nottingham Forest | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-3 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.