Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 1 · 12:30 · Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion

    Likeliest: Brighton & Hove Albion win · 39%

    A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Nottingham Forest37%——
    OursMarket
    Draw24%——
    OursMarket
    Brighton & Hove Albion39%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals57%——
    Double chance 1X61%——
    Double chance X263%——
    Double chance 1275%——
    Draw no bet (home)49%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Nottingham Forest
    WinWinDrawWinLoss
    • Jan 25 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)0-5
    • Jan 19 · v Southampton (H)3-2
    • Jan 14 · v Liverpool (H)1-1
    • Jan 11 · v Luton Town (H)2-0
    • Jan 6 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)3-0
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    DrawWinWinWinLoss
    • Jan 25 · v Everton (H)0-1
    • Jan 19 · at Manchester United (A)3-1
    • Jan 16 · at Ipswich Town (A)2-0
    • Jan 11 · at Norwich City (A)4-0
    • Jan 4 · v Arsenal (H)1-1
    Last 10 gamesNottingham ForestBrighton & Hove Albion
    Won-drawn-lost3-1-13-1-1
    Goals scored a game1.82.0
    Goals conceded a game1.60.6
    Over 2.5 goals60%40%
    Both teams scored40%40%
    Clean sheets40%40%
    Last 10 at this venue——

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Nottingham Forest form·Brighton & Hove Albion form·Head-to-head record

    Every match we have priced today