Premier League (England) · Sun, Nov 9 · 14:00 · Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United
Likeliest: Nottingham Forest win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nottingham Forest42%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Leeds United32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nottingham Forest
LossWinLossDrawDraw
- Nov 6 · at Sturm Graz (A)0-0
- Nov 1 · v Manchester United (H)2-2
- Oct 26 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)0-2
- Oct 23 · v Porto (H)2-0
- Oct 18 · v Chelsea (H)0-3
Leeds United
DrawLossLossWinLoss
- Nov 1 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)0-3
- Oct 24 · v West Ham United (H)2-1
- Oct 18 · at Burnley (A)0-2
- Oct 4 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)1-2
- Sep 27 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Nottingham Forest | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-6 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Nottingham Forest form·Leeds United form·Head-to-head record