Premier League (England) · Tue, Jan 14 · 20:00 · Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
Likeliest: Nottingham Forest win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nottingham Forest38%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Liverpool36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nottingham Forest
WinWin
- Jan 11 · v Luton Town (H)2-0
- Jan 6 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)3-0
Liverpool
DrawLossWin
- Jan 11 · v Accrington Stanley (H)4-0
- Jan 8 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)0-1
- Jan 5 · v Manchester United (H)2-2