Premier League (England) · Sat, Mar 8 · 12:30 · Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Likeliest: Manchester City win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nottingham Forest35%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Manchester City40%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nottingham Forest
LossWinLossLossDraw
- Feb 26 · v Arsenal (H)0-0
- Feb 23 · at Newcastle United (A)3-4
- Feb 15 · at Fulham (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)7-0
- Jan 25 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)0-5
Manchester City
WinLossLossWinWin
- Mar 1 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)3-1
- Feb 26 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)1-0
- Feb 23 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
- Feb 19 · at Real Madrid (A)1-3
- Feb 15 · v Newcastle United (H)4-0
| Last 10 games | Nottingham Forest | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-3 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-0 | 3-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Nottingham Forest form·Manchester City form·Head-to-head record