Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United
Likeliest: Nottingham Forest win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nottingham Forest45%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Manchester United29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nottingham Forest
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 26 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)0-2
- Oct 23 · v Porto (H)2-0
- Oct 18 · v Chelsea (H)0-3
- Oct 5 · at Newcastle United (A)0-2
- Oct 2 · v FC Midtjylland (H)2-3
Manchester United
WinLossWinWinWin
- Oct 25 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)4-2
- Oct 19 · at Liverpool (A)2-1
- Oct 4 · v Sunderland (H)2-0
- Sep 27 · at Brentford (A)1-3
- Sep 20 · v Chelsea (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Nottingham Forest | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-7 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-7 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Nottingham Forest form·Manchester United form·Head-to-head record