3rd Division, Group 2 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:00 · NTNUI vs Melhus
Likeliest: NTNUI win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
NTNUI42%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Melhus30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
NTNUI
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Oct 19 · at Rosenborg BK II (A)0-3
- Oct 10 · v Volda (H)1-0
- Oct 3 · at Aalesund FK II (A)3-1
- Sep 26 · v Nardo (H)2-5
- Sep 19 · at FK Kvik (A)2-0
Melhus
LossLossWinLossWin
- Oct 19 · v Ranheim 2 (H)3-0
- Oct 12 · v Aalesund FK II (H)0-1
- Oct 2 · at Rosenborg BK II (A)4-1
- Sep 26 · v Spjelkavik (H)0-1
- Sep 20 · at Molde FK II (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | NTNUI | Melhus |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 5-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-1 | 3-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.