3rd Division, Group 4 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 17 · 14:00 · Odds BK II vs Brodd
Likeliest: Odds BK II win · 46%
A 27% draw. The market says 22%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Odds BK II46%52%−5
OursMarket
Draw27%22%+5
OursMarket
Brodd27%26%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 75% | −23 |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 48% | +5 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 78% | −5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 66% | −3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Odds BK II
WinDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 9 · at Flekkerøy (A)1-0
- Oct 5 · v Viking FK II (H)3-1
- Sep 26 · at FK Mandalskameratene (A)0-4
- Sep 21 · v Stabæk Fotball II (H)1-1
- Sep 14 · at Åkra (A)2-1
Brodd
LossDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 10 · v Hinna (H)4-0
- Oct 4 · at Madla (A)1-0
- Sep 26 · v Vindbjart (H)0-2
- Sep 19 · at Våg FK (A)2-2
- Sep 12 · v Staal Jørpeland (H)1-3
| Last 10 games | Odds BK II | Brodd |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-1 | 3-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.