3rd Division, Group 4 (Norway) · Mon, Sep 21 · 13:00 · Odds BK II vs Stabæk Fotball II
Likeliest: Odds BK II win · 42%
A 31% away win. The market says 23%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Odds BK II42%57%−15
OursMarket
Draw27%20%+7
OursMarket
Stabæk Fotball II31%23%+8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 77% | −25 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 67% | −14 |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | 77% | −8 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 43% | +15 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 80% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | 72% | −14 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Odds BK II
LossWinLossWinWin
- Sep 14 · at Åkra (A)2-1
- Sep 6 · v Haugesund II (H)7-1
- Aug 31 · at Madla (A)0-4
- Aug 16 · v Hinna (H)3-2
- Aug 8 · v Staal Jørpeland (H)1-2
Stabæk Fotball II
WinLossWinLossWin
- Sep 13 · v Vindbjart (H)3-1
- Sep 6 · at Viking FK II (A)1-3
- Aug 30 · v Staal Jørpeland (H)2-1
- Aug 17 · at Varhaug (A)0-2
- Aug 9 · v Våg FK (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Odds BK II | Stabæk Fotball II |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-3 | 3-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.