Superliga (Denmark) · Sun, Oct 18 · 14:00 · Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF
Likeliest: Brøndby IF win · 43%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 43% for the away win. The market says 43%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Odense Boldklub29%31%−3
OursMarket
Draw28%25%+3
OursMarket
Brøndby IF43%43%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 58% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | 57% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 72% | 69% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 75% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 40% | 42% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Odense Boldklub
DrawLossWinDrawDraw
- Oct 9 · at FC Nordsjælland (A)0-0
- Sep 19 · v FC Midtjylland (H)1-1
- Sep 13 · at Randers FC (A)2-1
- Sep 6 · v FC København (H)0-5
- Aug 30 · at Lyngby (A)1-1
Brøndby IF
LossLossWinLossWin
- Oct 11 · v Lyngby (H)5-2
- Sep 20 · v FC København (H)0-1
- Sep 17 · at Vejle (A)2-1
- Sep 14 · at FC Midtjylland (A)2-4
- Sep 6 · v Randers FC (H)0-3
| Last 10 games | Odense Boldklub | Brøndby IF |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.