Indian Super League (India) · Sat, Oct 24 · 14:00 · Odisha FC vs NorthEast United
Likeliest: NorthEast United win · 43%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 43% for the away win. The market says 41%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Odisha FC28%31%−3
OursMarket
Draw29%28%+2
OursMarket
NorthEast United43%41%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 51% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 58% | 59% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 72% | 69% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 72% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 40% | 43% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Odisha FC
WinLossDrawLossDraw
- Oct 17 · at Inter Kashi FC (A)1-1
- Oct 14 · at Punjab FC (A)1-2
- May 21 · at Jamshedpur (A)0-0
- May 16 · v Minerva Punjab (H)2-3
- May 8 · at Sporting Delhi (A)2-1
NorthEast United
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 18 · v Kerala Blasters (H)4-1
- Oct 12 · v Mohun Bagan Super Giant (H)1-0
- May 19 · v Mohammedan (H)2-0
- May 10 · v Chennaiyin (H)4-1
- May 2 · v Inter Kashi (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | Odisha FC | NorthEast United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-7-2 | 2-6-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.