Superliga (Serbia) · Sun, Aug 9 · 19:00 · OFK Beograd vs FK Železničar Pančevo
Likeliest: OFK Beograd win · 41%
We make it 54% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 46%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
OFK Beograd41%38%+2
OursMarket
Draw27%28%−1
OursMarket
FK Železničar Pančevo32%34%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 54% | −8 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 58% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 66% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 62% | −3 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | 53% | +3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
OFK Beograd
LossDrawWin
- Aug 1 · at FK Novi Pazar (A)4-1
- Jul 25 · v FK Radnik Surdulica (H)0-0
- Jul 19 · at FK Vojvodina (A)0-4
FK Železničar Pančevo
WinLossLossDraw
- Aug 3 · v FK Mladost Lučani (H)0-0
- Jul 30 · at Sporting Braga (A)0-4
- Jul 22 · v Sporting Braga (H)0-1
- Jul 17 · v FK Radnički Niš (H)2-1