J2 League (Japan) · Sun, Oct 25 · 05:00 · Oita Trinita vs Ventforet Kofu
Likeliest: Oita Trinita win · 64%
Likely score: 2–0
A tight one: we make it 64% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Oita Trinita64%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Ventforet Kofu14%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 86% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 82% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.0 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Oita Trinita
DrawDrawWinWinDraw
- Oct 17 · v Albirex Niigata (H)0-0
- Oct 10 · at Yokohama FC (A)2-1
- Oct 3 · v Montedio Yamagata (H)2-1
- Sep 26 · v Fujieda MYFC (H)0-0
- Sep 19 · at Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (A)1-1
Ventforet Kofu
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 18 · at Iwaki FC (A)0-5
- Oct 10 · v Tochigi City FC (H)2-1
- Oct 3 · v Kataller Toyama (H)1-2
- Sep 26 · at RB Omiya Ardija (A)1-5
- Sep 23 · at Kashima Antlers (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Oita Trinita | Ventforet Kofu |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-6-1 | 3-0-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-1 | 1-0-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.