Champions League (Europe) · Tue, Aug 4 · 18:00 · Olympiacos FC vs NEC Nijmegen
Likeliest: Olympiacos FC win · 39%
A 36% away win. The market says 17%.
19 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Olympiacos FC39%61%−22
OursMarket
Draw25%22%+3
OursMarket
NEC Nijmegen36%17%+19
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 57% | +2 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 50% | +11 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 83% | −19 |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | 39% | +22 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 78% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | 78% | −26 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Olympiacos FC
No recent results tracked.
NEC Nijmegen
LossDrawDrawLossWin
- May 17 · v Go Ahead Eagles (H)2-1
- May 10 · at FC Groningen (A)1-2
- May 2 · v Telstar (H)1-1
- Apr 25 · at FC Twente (A)1-1
- Apr 19 · at AZ (A)1-5
| Last 10 games | Olympiacos FC | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 60% |
| Both teams scored | — | 80% |
| Clean sheets | — | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 5-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.