Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Mar 2 · 14:00 · Olympique Lyonnais vs Brest
Likeliest: Olympique Lyonnais win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Olympique Lyonnais50%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Brest28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Olympique Lyonnais
DrawLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 23 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)2-3
- Feb 16 · at Montpellier (A)4-1
- Feb 9 · v Reims (H)4-0
- Feb 2 · at Olympique Marseille (A)2-3
- Jan 30 · v Ludogorets (H)1-1
Brest
LossDrawLossDrawLoss
- Feb 26 · v Dunkerque (H)2-3
- Feb 23 · at Strasbourg (A)0-0
- Feb 19 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)0-7
- Feb 14 · v Auxerre (H)2-2
- Feb 11 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)0-3
| Last 10 games | Olympique Lyonnais | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-1 | 4-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.