Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Feb 23 · 19:45 · Olympique Lyonnais vs Paris Saint Germain
Likeliest: Olympique Lyonnais win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Olympique Lyonnais37%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Paris Saint Germain36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Olympique Lyonnais
DrawDrawLossWinWin
- Feb 16 · at Montpellier (A)4-1
- Feb 9 · v Reims (H)4-0
- Feb 2 · at Olympique Marseille (A)2-3
- Jan 30 · v Ludogorets (H)1-1
- Jan 26 · at Nantes (A)1-1
Paris Saint Germain
WinWinWinWinWin
- Feb 19 · v Brest (H)7-0
- Feb 15 · at Toulouse (A)1-0
- Feb 11 · at Brest (A)3-0
- Feb 7 · v Monaco (H)4-1
- Feb 4 · at Le Mans (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | Olympique Lyonnais | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-2 | 9-1-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 7-0-0 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Olympique Lyonnais form·Paris Saint Germain form·Head-to-head record