Ligue 1 (France) · Wed, Oct 29 · 20:05 · Olympique Marseille vs Angers SCO
Likeliest: Olympique Marseille win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Olympique Marseille56%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Angers SCO21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Olympique Marseille
WinWinWinLossLoss
- Oct 25 · at Lens (A)1-2
- Oct 22 · at Sporting CP (A)1-2
- Oct 18 · v Le Havre (H)6-2
- Oct 4 · at Metz (A)3-0
- Sep 30 · v Ajax (H)4-0
Angers SCO
LossLossLossDrawWin
- Oct 26 · v Lorient (H)2-0
- Oct 18 · v Monaco (H)1-1
- Oct 5 · at Strasbourg (A)0-5
- Sep 28 · v Brest (H)0-2
- Sep 19 · at Olympique Lyonnais (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Olympique Marseille | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-4 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 9-0-1 | 1-2-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Olympique Marseille form·Angers SCO form·Head-to-head record