Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Nov 8 · 16:00 · Olympique Marseille vs Brest
Likeliest: Olympique Marseille win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Olympique Marseille55%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Brest21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Olympique Marseille
LossLossDrawWinLoss
- Nov 5 · v Atalanta (H)0-1
- Nov 1 · at Auxerre (A)1-0
- Oct 29 · v Angers SCO (H)2-2
- Oct 25 · at Lens (A)1-2
- Oct 22 · at Sporting CP (A)1-2
Brest
DrawDrawLossLossDraw
- Nov 2 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)0-0
- Oct 29 · at Le Havre (A)0-1
- Oct 25 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)0-3
- Oct 19 · at Lorient (A)3-3
- Oct 4 · v Nantes (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Olympique Marseille | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 8-1-1 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.