Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Mar 8 · 20:05 · Olympique Marseille vs Lens
Likeliest: Olympique Marseille win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Olympique Marseille56%——
OursMarket
Draw20%——
OursMarket
Lens19%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 40% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Olympique Marseille
WinWinWinLossWin
- Mar 2 · v Nantes (H)2-0
- Feb 22 · at Auxerre (A)0-3
- Feb 15 · v Saint-Étienne (H)5-1
- Feb 9 · at Angers SCO (A)2-0
- Feb 2 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)3-2
Lens
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Mar 1 · v Le Havre (H)3-4
- Feb 23 · at Nantes (A)1-3
- Feb 16 · v Strasbourg (H)0-2
- Feb 8 · at Nice (A)0-2
- Jan 31 · at Montpellier (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | Olympique Marseille | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-2 | 3-0-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 44% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 22% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.