Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Mar 2 · 19:45 · Olympique Marseille vs Nantes
Likeliest: Olympique Marseille win · 58%
A tight one: we make it 58% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Olympique Marseille58%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Nantes21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 42% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Olympique Marseille
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Feb 22 · at Auxerre (A)0-3
- Feb 15 · v Saint-Étienne (H)5-1
- Feb 9 · at Angers SCO (A)2-0
- Feb 2 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)3-2
- Jan 26 · at Nice (A)0-2
Nantes
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Feb 23 · v Lens (H)3-1
- Feb 15 · at Monaco (A)1-7
- Feb 7 · v Brest (H)0-2
- Feb 2 · at Reims (A)2-1
- Jan 26 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Olympique Marseille | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-2 | 2-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 89% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.