V-League (Vietnam) · Sun, Sep 6 · 10:00 · Đông Á Thanh Hóa vs SHB Đà Nẵng
Likeliest: Đông Á Thanh Hóa win · 41%
A 41% home win. The market says 28%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Đông Á Thanh Hóa41%28%+13
OursMarket
Draw28%36%−9
OursMarket
SHB Đà Nẵng31%36%−5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 41% | +8 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 51% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | 64% | +5 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 72% | −13 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 64% | +9 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | 44% | +13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Đông Á Thanh Hóa
LossLoss
- Jun 7 · at SHB Đà Nẵng (A)0-4
- May 31 · v Phù Đổng Ninh Bình (H)0-2
SHB Đà Nẵng
DrawWinDrawWinWin
- Jun 7 · v Đông Á Thanh Hóa (H)4-0
- Jun 7 · v Đông Á Thanh Hoá (H)4-0
- May 31 · at Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (A)0-0
- May 23 · v Hải Phòng (H)2-0
- May 15 · at Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Đông Á Thanh Hóa | SHB Đà Nẵng |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 60% |
| Both teams scored | — | 40% |
| Clean sheets | — | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 0-4-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.