División Profesional (Bolivia) · Sun, Oct 25 · 23:30 · Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest
Likeliest: Oriente Petrolero win · 51%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Oriente Petrolero51%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
The Strongest24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Oriente Petrolero
LossLossWinWinDraw
- Oct 18 · at Guabirá (A)1-1
- Oct 10 · v Academia del Balompié Boliviano (H)1-0
- Sep 17 · at CD Real Tomayapo (A)2-0
- Sep 12 · at Real Potosí (A)1-2
- Sep 5 · v Club Always Ready (H)1-2
The Strongest
WinWinWinLossWin
- Oct 18 · v Club Always Ready (H)2-1
- Oct 11 · at Real Potosí (A)0-1
- Sep 15 · at Academia del Balompié Boliviano (A)2-1
- Sep 12 · v CDT Real Oruro (H)5-0
- Sep 6 · v CD Real Tomayapo (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Oriente Petrolero | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 7-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-2 | 3-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.