3rd Division, Group 2 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 · Orkla vs Nardo
Likeliest: Nardo win · 58%
A tight one: we make it 58% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Orkla19%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Nardo58%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 42% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 81% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 24% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Orkla
DrawLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 17 · at Strindheim (A)0-7
- Oct 10 · v FK Kvik (H)0-1
- Oct 3 · at Volda (A)1-4
- Sep 26 · at Byasen Toppfotball (A)0-3
- Sep 20 · v Aalesund FK II (H)2-2
Nardo
WinWinLossWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Herd (H)11-0
- Oct 10 · at Byasen Toppfotball (A)3-1
- Oct 3 · v Strindheim (H)0-1
- Sep 26 · at NTNUI (A)5-2
- Sep 21 · v Ranheim 2 (H)4-1
| Last 10 games | Orkla | Nardo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-6 | 7-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 3.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-3 | 3-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.