3rd Division, Group 3 (Norway) · Mon, Oct 19 · 16:00 · Os TF vs Sogndal IL II
Likeliest: Os TF win · 48%
A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Os TF48%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Sogndal IL II29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Os TF
LossWinLossDrawWin
- Oct 10 · at Fyllingsdalen (A)2-0
- Oct 3 · v Askøy FK (H)0-0
- Sep 26 · at Varegg (A)2-4
- Sep 21 · v Asane Fotball 2 (H)3-2
- Sep 16 · v SK Brann (H)1-2
Sogndal IL II
LossLossLossLossWin
- Oct 10 · v Gneist (H)5-3
- Oct 3 · v Austevoll (H)2-3
- Sep 26 · at Djerv 1919 (A)1-2
- Sep 19 · v Vard Haugesund (H)2-4
- Sep 12 · at Varegg (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Os TF | Sogndal IL II |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-1 | 0-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.