La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Feb 2 · 17:30 · Osasuna vs Real Sociedad
Likeliest: Osasuna win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Osasuna41%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Real Sociedad32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Osasuna
WinLossWinDrawDraw
- Jan 24 · at Las Palmas (A)1-1
- Jan 19 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)1-1
- Jan 16 · at Athletic Club (A)3-2
- Jan 12 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-1
- Jan 4 · at Tenerife (A)2-1
Real Sociedad
WinLossLossLossWin
- Jan 30 · v PAOK (H)2-0
- Jan 26 · v Getafe (H)0-3
- Jan 23 · at Lazio (A)1-3
- Jan 19 · at Valencia (A)0-1
- Jan 16 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Osasuna | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-1 | 4-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 29% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 43% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.