La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Mar 2 · 20:00 · Osasuna vs Valencia
Likeliest: Osasuna win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Osasuna46%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Valencia28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Osasuna
WinLossDrawDrawLoss
- Feb 21 · at Celta de Vigo (A)0-1
- Feb 15 · v Real Madrid (H)1-1
- Feb 10 · at Mallorca (A)1-1
- Feb 6 · at Real Sociedad (A)0-2
- Feb 2 · v Real Sociedad (H)2-1
Valencia
WinLossWinDrawLoss
- Feb 22 · v Atlético Madrid (H)0-3
- Feb 15 · at Villarreal (A)1-1
- Feb 9 · v Leganés (H)2-0
- Feb 6 · v FC Barcelona (H)0-5
- Feb 2 · v Celta de Vigo (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Osasuna | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.