Superettan (Sweden) · Sat, Oct 17 · 15:00 · Östers IF vs IK Oddevold
Likeliest: IK Oddevold win · 41%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. The market says 42%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Östers IF31%33%−2
OursMarket
Draw28%26%+3
OursMarket
IK Oddevold41%42%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 58% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 62% | 59% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | 58% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 70% | 67% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 74% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 43% | 44% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Östers IF
LossLossWinLossDraw
- Oct 10 · at Norrby IF (A)0-0
- Sep 19 · v Norrköping (H)1-3
- Sep 15 · at Värnamo (A)3-1
- Sep 10 · at Falkenbergs FF (A)1-2
- Sep 4 · v United IK Nordic (H)1-2
IK Oddevold
WinWinDrawLossWin
- Oct 10 · v United IK Nordic (H)2-0
- Sep 19 · v Värnamo (H)1-2
- Sep 13 · at Norrköping (A)0-0
- Sep 9 · at Sandvikens IF (A)1-0
- Sep 5 · v Falkenbergs FF (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Östers IF | IK Oddevold |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-0-4 | 3-5-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.