Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Oxford United vs Millwall
Likeliest: Oxford United win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Oxford United40%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Millwall34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Oxford United
DrawLossWinLossWin
- Oct 25 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)2-1
- Oct 22 · at Wrexham (A)0-1
- Oct 18 · v Derby County (H)1-0
- Oct 4 · at Watford (A)1-2
- Oct 1 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)0-0
Millwall
LossWinWinWinWin
- Oct 25 · v Leicester City (H)1-0
- Oct 21 · v Stoke City (H)2-0
- Oct 18 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)2-1
- Oct 4 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)3-0
- Oct 1 · v Coventry City (H)0-4
| Last 10 games | Oxford United | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.