Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 15 · 12:30 · Oxford United vs Portsmouth
Likeliest: Oxford United win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Oxford United39%——
OursMarket
Draw30%——
OursMarket
Portsmouth31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Oxford United
WinDrawDrawLossDraw
- Feb 11 · at Derby County (A)0-0
- Feb 4 · at Burnley (A)0-1
- Feb 1 · v Bristol City (H)1-1
- Jan 25 · at Stoke City (A)0-0
- Jan 21 · v Luton Town (H)3-2
Portsmouth
LossLossDrawLossWin
- Feb 11 · v Cardiff City (H)2-1
- Feb 8 · at Sheffield United (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Burnley (H)0-0
- Jan 28 · v Millwall (H)0-1
- Jan 25 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-5
| Last 10 games | Oxford United | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-5-2 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 0-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.