Championship (England) · Sat, Dec 13 · 12:30 · Oxford United vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Preston North End win · 49%
A 49% away win. The market says 33%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Oxford United28%38%−10
OursMarket
Draw24%29%−5
OursMarket
Preston North End49%33%+15
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 46% | +8 |
| Double chance 1X | 51% | 67% | −15 |
| Double chance X2 | 72% | 62% | +10 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 71% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 36% | 53% | −17 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Oxford United
DrawDrawWinLossDraw
- Dec 9 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-1
- Dec 6 · at Swansea City (A)0-2
- Nov 28 · v Ipswich Town (H)2-1
- Nov 25 · at Norwich City (A)1-1
- Nov 22 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-1
Preston North End
LossDrawWinDrawDraw
- Dec 9 · v Coventry City (H)1-1
- Dec 6 · v Wrexham (H)1-1
- Nov 29 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)3-2
- Nov 25 · at Watford (A)1-1
- Nov 21 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Oxford United | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Oxford United form·Preston North End form·Head-to-head record