Championship (England) · Tue, Nov 4 · 19:45 · Oxford United vs Stoke City
Likeliest: Oxford United win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Oxford United44%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Stoke City32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Oxford United
LossWinLossWinDraw
- Nov 1 · v Millwall (H)2-2
- Oct 25 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)2-1
- Oct 22 · at Wrexham (A)0-1
- Oct 18 · v Derby County (H)1-0
- Oct 4 · at Watford (A)1-2
Stoke City
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Nov 1 · v Bristol City (H)5-1
- Oct 25 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
- Oct 21 · at Millwall (A)0-2
- Oct 18 · v Wrexham (H)1-0
- Oct 4 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Oxford United | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.