Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 15 · 15:00 · Oxford United vs Watford
Likeliest: Oxford United win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Oxford United45%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Watford27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Oxford United
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- Mar 12 · at Hull City (A)1-2
- Mar 7 · at Norwich City (A)1-1
- Mar 1 · v Coventry City (H)2-3
- Feb 22 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)0-2
- Feb 15 · v Portsmouth (H)0-2
Watford
WinWinDrawLossWin
- Mar 12 · v Swansea City (H)1-0
- Mar 8 · v Millwall (H)1-2
- Mar 1 · at Stoke City (A)0-0
- Feb 23 · v Luton Town (H)2-0
- Feb 15 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Oxford United | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-2 | 2-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.