Super League (Greece) · Thu, Sep 10 · 18:00 · Panathinaikos vs AE Kifisia
Likeliest: Panathinaikos win · 62%
We make it 51% for both teams to score. The market says 42%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Panathinaikos62%73%−11
OursMarket
Draw20%18%+2
OursMarket
AE Kifisia17%9%+8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 54% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 51% | 42% | +9 |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | 91% | −8 |
| Double chance X2 | 38% | 27% | +11 |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | 82% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 78% | 89% | −11 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Panathinaikos
DrawDrawWinWinWin
- Sep 6 · v PAOK (H)3-1
- Sep 3 · v Niki Volou (H)1-0
- Aug 31 · at APO Levadiakos (A)2-0
- Aug 27 · at FC Hradec Králové (A)1-1
- Aug 20 · v FC Hradec Králové (H)2-2
AE Kifisia
WinDrawDrawLoss
- Sep 6 · at OFI Crete (A)0-2
- Sep 2 · at GS Marko (A)2-2
- Aug 30 · v AEK Athens (H)1-1
- Aug 19 · at APS Zakynthos 1961 (A)6-1
| Last 10 games | Panathinaikos | AE Kifisia |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-6-0 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — |
| Both teams scored | 80% | — |
| Clean sheets | 20% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-6-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.